THE PREMORTEM
A PROACTIVE STRATEGY FOR DECISION-MAKING
(PSYCHOLOGY & BEHAVIOR)
WRITTEN BY: CAMBRIDGE REVIEW PUBLISHING
ABOUT THIS BOOK
This book has been crafted by integrating the insights and expertise of numerous renowned international specialists in the field. Rather than relying on a single or average source, it draws from a rich combination of premium, authoritative perspectives, ensuring that readers gain access to the highest quality knowledge available.
CONTENT:
The Pervasiveness Of Overconfidence In Judgment
The Dual Systems Of Thought: Fast And Slow Thinking
The “What You See Is All There Is” (Wysiati) Principle
Jumping To Conclusions: Efficiency And Its Risks
The Narrative Fallacy: Constructing Coherent, But Flawed, Stories
The Halo Effect: Exaggerating Consistency In Evaluations
Hindsight And Outcome Biases: The Illusion Of Predictability
The Planning Fallacy: Why Our Forecasts Are Overly Optimistic
The Inside And Outside Views: A Critical Distinction In Forecasting
Cognitive Ease And Strain: Signals From System 1
Heuristics And Biases: The Shortcut Tendencies Of Intuitive Judgment
The Stubbornness Of Optimism: Why Training Alone Fails
The Premortem: A Proactive Defense Against Failure
Unleashing Doubt And Overcoming Groupthink Through Premortem
Thinking Better: Integrating Skepticism And Intuition For Smarter Decisions