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Levitin Daniel

  • Historiahas quoted2 years ago
    because I heard about a guy who died in a car crash because he was wearing one

    First off, no one said this and actually meant it. No one is actually dumb enough to ask to say this. They say it, just so they don’t have to wear a seatbelt. But yeah if you do say this and you mean it, you’re an absolute retard and need counseling

  • Historiahas quoted2 years ago
    got trapped in the car and couldn’t get out. If he hadn’t been wearing the seat belt, he would have been okay.”

    The chances of this happening are so fucking low. I’m telling you right now the chances of you flying through your front windshield is 10 times higher than getting in a car accident that’s serious enough to the point where it actually trapped you.

  • Historiahas quoted2 years ago
    out of thirty-seven or thirty-eight.

    Does the US want to be different like how they do it with Fahrenheit in Celsius like Europe has 38 in the United States is 37 why is that

  • Historiahas quoted2 years ago
    percent chance she’ll attend a party, a mistake that many non–critical thinkers make is in assuming that if

    What does this even mean? If she has a 50% chance that she’ll go in a 50% chance that she won’t why is it 50%. Is she just saying she might go? She’s think she’s an equal probably of going or not going? But this is stupid. This is just saying she might go or she might not go it’s the nicest way possible to say I don’t know. You don’t wanna say I don’t know because I might make the person feel like oh she’s probably not going. But you can’t say no either because that’s being an asshole so if you say 50-50 it makes them feel better because you’re like oh shit there’s a 50% chance she might go. But That don’t mean shit it literally just means I don’t know

  • Historiahas quoted2 years ago
    Fifty-fifty,” apparently confusing the two possible outcomes with two equally likely outcomes.

    They’re already told that 70% of the people there are poets and 30% of the people there are engineers why would any of them guess 50-50 just makes no sense if you know the 70% of you are there are poets right and you were to answer whether the next person you meet is going to be a poet or an engineer you would say it’s probably gonna be a poet because the chances of it being a poet it’s what is that 40% higher than it being an engineer so while he was a 50-50 people are confusing the fact that there’s only two options so there’s two options therefore there is an equal chance that they could be both options but there’s two options but one option is more likely

  • Historiahas quoted2 years ago
    This is known as a conditional probability.

    Conditional probability is when you calculate the probability within a specific minority. What percent of people of cancer? Go deeper, what percent of people who have cancer also have Alzheimer’s? Calculating these types of probably can help you spot correlations.

  • Historiahas quoted2 years ago
    Without running through the numbers, we can guess that the probability of pneumonia is greater in the second case.

    Conditional probability could be used to manipulate people. They could brashly specify the condition so people arent aware of the condition and give us A outlandish statistic that’s hard to believe but some people still believe it that’s why it’s used to manipulate people.

  • Historiahas quoted2 years ago
    bring you ketchup, you might look at only the tables of tho

    Conditional probability is something that everyone uses in their lives whether they realize it or not. You’ve Probably been like he’s giving out free food maybe if I go up to him I can get free food to. Usually people don’t get it out free food but since you can see that he’s giving out free food the chance of you getting free food for him are also very high.

  • Historiahas quoted2 years ago
    n the discussion above on probability values (if the probability of a false alarm is 10 percent, that doesn’t mean that the probability of a hit is 90 percent).

    Statistics doesn’t work backwards like how Math Does.

  • Historiahas quoted2 years ago
    7 p.m. | accident) ≠ P(accident | 7 p.m.)
    The consequences of such confusion a

    In statistics it’s important to establish what caused what. When You were saying that more car accidents occur at 7 PM are you saying that accidents occur because it’s 7 PM or sense at 7 PM accidents occur. It’s not the largest difference but the small differences can lead to incorrect statistics in wrongful impacts

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